11 June 2021 Adrian Leopard 303 Uncategorized Figures depressing as R goes up Previous Article NHS worker convicted of theft of dead patient’s credit card – where is the trust now? Next Article Prime Minister hints at extension of covid restrictions Big problems ahead – that is for sure The thought of the lifting of all restrictions on 21st June is becoming very worrying indeed. The R number is increasing – now between 1.2 and 1.4. This is bad. New cases in the UK have risen by 63% in the past seven days – another 44009. Deaths happily have been contained somewhat but putting aside the Channel Islands which are unrepresentatively small, the UK is romping ahead in terms of growth of a third wave. How is this possible when so many people have been vaccinated? Indeed, most of Europe is showing a decline in new cases but once again not Britain. The big question I ask is this – if the road map is not to be reversed, how is the present rate of increase to be contained? Again this morning the vaccines minister was keen to point out that 75% vaccinated means 25% not and if 85% of those vaccinated are protected, then 15% are not. The mathematics of that are that only circa 64% of those vaccinated are protected which is equivalent to 11.25% of the adult population. As he put it, there is still a lot of head room for further transmission. Add the 11.25% to the 25% not yet vaccinated, and you have 36.25% of the adult population unprotected. Add to that the juvenile population along with an aggressive Indian variant and the scope for catching the virus is enormous. We are also being told that 1 in 3 people carrying covid are a-symptomatic. In other words neither you nor they will know that they have it. The great worry must now be that the government’s enthusiasm to bring the restrictions to an end means a massive free for all for covid-19, one which it will probably win. The battlefield is setting itself up again and unfortunately it is one where conventional weapons will be quite useless. Adrian Leopard 11-06-21 Photo Chuanchai Pundej Rate article No rating Rate this article: No rating Tags mediation hospitality Covid-19 community travel Share Print Switch article NHS worker convicted of theft of dead patient’s credit card – where is the trust now? Previous Article Prime Minister hints at extension of covid restrictions Next Article Comment Collapse Expand Comments (0) You don't have permission to post comments.