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28 November 2021

Opinion from Adrian Leopard & Co

News impacting business from Adrian Leopard & Company - Insolvency Practioners & Mediators

Leopard News

Rise in UK cases is a real worry

Rise in UK cases is a real worry

We may yet have to batten down the hatches as cases start to increase exponentially

As the holiday and aviation industries get hot under the collar over the removal of Portugal from the green list, the ONS reports a 76.5% increase in cases in the past week in England.

Airships back in the news

Airships back in the news

Just think – noiseless travel in comfort; the ability to stop where you want and perhaps just hover in the sky. The possibilities are huge

Back in January we reported on how airships might become a transport of the future after the disastrous Hindenburg incident 84 years ago.

Learjet production to cease

Learjet production to cease

Another change in the aviation map – this time from a different angle

In that once the word “hoover” was synonymous with vacuum cleaner, to many at one time any business jet was known as a Learjet.
Airships coming back as a serious mode of transport? Are you joking?

Airships coming back as a serious mode of transport? Are you joking?

May be “new norm” won’t be all bad! Definitely aviation with a twist

When the word “airship” is used, no doubt it conjures up in our minds that dreadful accident in 1937 in New Jersey when the Hindenberg caught fire. It was probably the most famous aviation disaster ever caught on camera and basically brought about the end of airships as a realistic form of transport. Airships, also known as “blimps” have continued to exist but are a relative rarity.
Covid variants – panic building so why let them in?

Covid variants – panic building so why let them in?

The trouble is too many people are too impatient. They want predictions it is impossible to give accurately

It’s all about Covid-19 at the moment. Hospitals bulging to overflowing, patients being examined in corridors and ambulances and doctors tearing their hair out because of insufficient resources. How did we allow this to creep up on us without realising what was about to happen?

Avatar Airlines’ fantastic plan for the future. Do you know about this?

Avatar Airlines’ fantastic plan for the future. Do you know about this?

An interesting plan. Can it possibly succeed?

A little while ago we reported the arrival of British Airways’ final 747 ‘Queen of the Skies’ at Cotswold Aerodrome where she, and her cohorts already awaiting their fate, would most likely be ‘parted out’ (scrapped). In fact that particular 747 has been acquired by the aerodrome authority for development as a (static) conference and learning facility, but the fact remains that there is simply no second hand market for these aeroplanes; long haul super-large four engine airliners have had their day. The long haul skies today belong to the new generation of twin-engined jets.
No Vaccination certificates? This is incredibly short-sighted and naïve in the extreme!

No Vaccination certificates? This is incredibly short-sighted and naïve in the extreme!

Proving you have had the vaccination is bound to become essential if you want full access to services in due course.

As the excitement of getting first vaccinations done romps on, thoughts are already being turned to the future. As we surmised yesterday, comments are already being made about the less well-off countries which may not get the vaccines because the wealthy countries decide to hoard them.
Up up and away! 737 MAX takes to the skies again.

Up up and away! 737 MAX takes to the skies again.

As the 737 retires it looks like the 737 MAX will be the start of a new era in aviation.

Wednesday 3rd December marked the beginning of the end of the Boeing Commercial Airplane Company’s 19-month nightmare that is the model 737 MAX. It began a series of passenger carrying flights with its hitherto grounded and recently re-certified fleet aimed at restoring public confidence in the type.
Let’s pile on the restrictions and is there a face mask fashion in the making?

Let’s pile on the restrictions and is there a face mask fashion in the making?

Things are really getting serious as the UK government changes its position dramatically over the virus.

Clearly on Friday I was not the only one who was depressed about the way the Covid-19 pandemic is going. As yesterday the number of world cases passed 46 million and declared deaths passed 1.2 million, Prime Minister Boris Johnson has been persuaded by his scientific experts that we were not doing enough to stop the spread of the disease. Moreover the UK yesterday has passed the milestone of 1 million cases according to Johns Hopkins.
Flybe’s resurrection has been announced!

Flybe’s resurrection has been announced!

Will the stress of flying be removed as long as there is a risk of Covid-19?

It is no doubt a surprise to many that Flybe, the airline which went into administration back in March has been bought and is expected to get started up again. The purchaser is Thyme Opco who are linked to Cyrus Capital, a company which was part of a Virgin-led rescue attempt for the airline last year.
Crystal balls sadly in short supply so is it time for serious scientific attempts to try and foresee the future?

Crystal balls sadly in short supply so is it time for serious scientific attempts to try and foresee the future?

We can only plan for the future if we can make some pretty good guesses about how it could look. What will “new norm” be?

Who could have foreseen it all? Did anyone think that in 2020 the world would be brought to its knees by a pandemic? If anyone had suggested it, there would have been comments like “what do you know that we don’t?”.
Yet more circles to go around with quarantine rules

Yet more circles to go around with quarantine rules

It’s time the media stopped hyping up quarantine issues. Those who get caught out simply took a gamble and lost

Have you noticed that it is getting rather frenetic on television over the changes to the quarantine rules? And then when they tell us what the travellers say, most of them admit that they knew they were taking a risk
Time to look at the numbers again – why are more countries being added to the quarantine list?

Time to look at the numbers again – why are more countries being added to the quarantine list?

With the information in this article, you will have all the tools you need to determine the level of risk of having to quarantine when you return to the UK

The World Health Organisation today said that they hoped the Covid-19 pandemic would be over in “under two years”. This seems to be putting down a clear marker for the world to ruminate over – another two years of what we are going through?

Boeing 737MAX getting closer to re-entering service. Is that something to worry about?

Boeing 737MAX getting closer to re-entering service. Is that something to worry about?

New aeroplanes coming into service may be a little superfluous to requirements at the moment until business builds back up

In a previous post via this forum I discussed the withdrawal around the globe of the Boeing 737MAX-8 and MAX-9 airliners, and the technical reasons for that decision. I concluded by speculating whether the type would ever return to service, and if it did, whether it would be promoted under the same name, and what the passenger reaction might be once they realised that they were about to travel on a MAX?
Could closing the borders get rid of Covid-19?

Could closing the borders get rid of Covid-19?

How would the people respond to a really aggressive approach to getting Covid-19 out of Britain?

It is perhaps a little known fact that there are areas which belong to Britain which are clear of coronavirus. You cannot tell this from looking at Johns Hopkins as their table brackets the “Channel Islands” as one territory but in fact the Bailiwick of Guernsey is Covid-19 free and life has gone back to normal, even down to kissing and hugging!

What price a foreign holiday now?

What price a foreign holiday now?

The education in how the spread of the virus affects people is sadly deficient as the people do not seem to be taking it on board

I cannot help but wonder just how seriously the people are taking the Covid-19 pandemic. We see social-distancing as a concept largely ignored by large swathes of the population, usually at a rally or something similar or more particularly in the street outside the pub.
The Rise & Fall of the Jumbo

The Rise & Fall of the Jumbo

This iconic aircraft is reaching the end of its days

The reign of both British Airways’ & Virgin’s “Queen of the Skies” having come to an abrupt end, it may be a good time to stand back and examine how present day long haul flying has changed, even before the advent of SARS.CoV.2., which has merely hastened the 747’s inevitable fall from grace
Was it really such a shock decision to re-introduce quarantine for those coming from Spain?

Was it really such a shock decision to re-introduce quarantine for those coming from Spain?

It’s easy to blame the government but the writing was on the wall for some time

There remains in the country a huge body of opinion which feels that the lockdown has been relaxed too fast in some ways. This is clearly evidenced by the fact that people still prefer to stay at home, pubs and restaurants are nowhere near as busy as they could be, even with social distancing, and shopping is down as well.
Airport safety measures – do you feel safer?

Airport safety measures – do you feel safer?

As time goes by there will be all sorts of new measures introduced to enhance your safety so life can return to normal

We floated the issue of safety while flying a week ago and now some of the measures which have been introduced at London Heathrow have been made public.

Aviation starts to be innovative

Aviation starts to be innovative

It’s good that there is some positivity around during these troubled times

In order to try to allay the fear of air travel which a lot of people seem to have at the moment, a few innovations are emerging. United Airlines is trying a new technique to keep passengers safe and reduce the spread of coronavirus.

End of an era as British Airways decide to withdraw their entire fleet of Boeing 747s and half price meals in August may be difficult to find

End of an era as British Airways decide to withdraw their entire fleet of Boeing 747s and half price meals in August may be difficult to find

As the world tries to give itself a kick-start economic problems continue to emerge

Time for retirement – British Airways has brought forward the withdrawal of its entire fleet of 31 jumbo jets. This was originally scheduled for 2024 but the reduction in business due to the pandemic has caused the decision to be taken now, according to announcements made by BA.
How long until tourism gets back to pre-Covid-19 levels?

How long until tourism gets back to pre-Covid-19 levels?

Are people getting out and about or does there remain a significant concern over catching the virus?

It is now a week since bars and restaurants opened and gradually it becomes a little clearer what operators are thinking about the prospects for the future.

Optimistic operators are talking about two years before they get back to former levels while many others are talking about three years

Reservation deposits – blessing or curse? But what about the empty chairs and empty tables? And how would you feel if you discovered your pilot did not have a licence to fly the aircraft?

Reservation deposits – blessing or curse? But what about the empty chairs and empty tables? And how would you feel if you discovered your pilot did not have a licence to fly the aircraft?

Is the trust we place in our regulators justified? Pakistan CAA clearly has egg on its face

It is probable that the general public have little clue about the damage that no-shows can cause to restaurants and hotels. Unfortunately, this is not just an occasional problem but might almost be said to be endemic. What is difficult to know for certain in why no-shows take place and probably everyone has done it at some time or another, even if only because one of the party does not feel very well
Super Saturday. Really? Reality shows that we have a divided country

Super Saturday. Really? Reality shows that we have a divided country

For the majority Super Saturday weekend seems to have gone down like a damp squib

It all goes to prove that things can be hyped up as much you want but reality is not always the same. We were told to expect the roads on Super Saturday to be absolutely packed while 10.5 million people were going to go out to their caravans, second homes, holidays etc. We were told that the people could not wait to get out to the pubs and restaurants and that there would be great queues everywhere and you would not be able to go into a pub or restaurant without a booking. We were told that everyone would want a haircut.
Week started badly for business and gets no better, especially in aviation and hospitality

Week started badly for business and gets no better, especially in aviation and hospitality

Of course airlines may be closed down again if virus continues to spread at current rate

Today is the day that Ryanair has started its 1000 flights a day. That plan suffered a minor blow when Greece said not yet please but nevertheless Mr O’Leary claims that their flights to other destinations are 70% full. By clicking on this link you can see what flights are in the air and the Ryanair flights have RYR at the beginning of the ID.
Unsure whether to fly? This is what you need to know about air conditioning

Unsure whether to fly? This is what you need to know about air conditioning

Is social-distancing when flying actually possible?

As the world’s airlines gird their loins in preparation to get flying again it may be worth considering the measures being proposed by the carriers to mitigate possible viral cross-infection between passengers. At one point during the lockdown the suggestion of blocking middle seats was mooted. easyJet at first suggested they might adopt such a measure, but then seemed to talk themselves out of it.
Are you afraid of a second wave? You probably should be. Get that face mask on

Are you afraid of a second wave? You probably should be. Get that face mask on

As new cases exceed 10 million this pandemic is on the increase!

By the end of the coming week, we shall have seen major new relaxations of the social-distancing requirements. Pubs and hotels are re-opening and we shall see a further week of unlimited shopping. The following week travel opens up again and we hear talk of the quarantine measures being relaxed for certain low-risk countries.

More airline redundancies and other problems

More airline redundancies and other problems

The truth on airline contraction is becoming clearer

The latest round of redundancies appears to be from Jet2. It would appear that 102 captains and first officers are to be made redundant, the leavers being those who joined the company most recently. Another report states that 380 cabin crew will be made redundant; it is not entirely clear whether this figure includes the pilots or not but the inference is that it does not.

PM brightens everyone’s day with relaxations in the lockdown but bar stools a no-no!

PM brightens everyone’s day with relaxations in the lockdown but bar stools a no-no!

As we get more freedoms, it gets more and more difficult to understand what they actually are!

There can hardly be a soul in the land who will not be pleased with some parts at least of the Prime Minister’s announcements in Parliament today, even if it is just “I can go and have a hair cut”! Additional measures such as two households at a time getting together indoors will also enable friends to meet again and for reciprocal dinner parties to get started again.

Is British Airways really not allowed to manage its affairs to its advantage? Who next?

Is British Airways really not allowed to manage its affairs to its advantage? Who next?

Businesses are now fighting for their very survival. Without them there will be no jobs.

“No man in the country is under the smallest obligation, moral or other, so to arrange his legal relations to his business or property as to enable the Inland Revenue to put the largest possible shovel in his stores…..” So said
How much do you really know about the 737-MAX?

How much do you really know about the 737-MAX?

There is a lot of technical stuff here but it makes one wonder how these decisions are made.

Both Airbus and Boeing have recently posted eye watering first quarter losses of €481m and $641m respectively. The CEO of Airbus, Guillaume Faury, warned earlier this month that it may take up to five years for passenger figures to be back at their pre-Covid numbers.
My kingdom for a hair cut. Can you now do just what you want?

My kingdom for a hair cut. Can you now do just what you want?

New rules but what exactly are they?

When I heard the Prime Minister on TV at 7pm on Sunday, I thought I understood exactly what the new rules were. However, the media and others have done an excellent job of completely confusing the issue for everyone in the short time since. The government, by contrast, have produced a lengthy document setting out the requirements in far greater detail. In the meanwhile the Prime Minister has made the same statement to Parliament.
Who does Heathrow really belong to? CO2 lobbyists back on the job!

Who does Heathrow really belong to? CO2 lobbyists back on the job!

As we move towards relaxing the restrictions, parties begin to think of the future.

Whether you like it or not, Covid-19 is being seen by climate change lobbyists as their “opportunity”. In a previous post, I looked at the effect several factors might play in deciding whether Heathrow Airport (LHR) would get its controversial third runway in the foreseeable future.
Is there still a case for the third runway at Heathrow?

Is there still a case for the third runway at Heathrow?

Now aviation has dropped like a stone, when will it build up again?

In one of our earlier postings it was stated quite reasonably in an earlier posting that given the dire position in which civil aviation now finds itself (and frankly it has never been the most stable of industries), is it likely that we will see a third runway at Heathrow (LHR) within the next decade?
Aviation in dire trouble – will it ever be the same again? And what about your holidays this year?

Aviation in dire trouble – will it ever be the same again? And what about your holidays this year?

Do people have a clue just how bad it is?

Current news on aviation is dire. British Airways have announced a possible 12000 redundancies will be taking place and now it is looking like Gatwick will lose all BA activity and BA are telling us that it may not start up again. The job reductions include significant numbers of pilots and co-pilots.
I have paid a deposit for my daughter’s wedding reception. It’s safe – right?

I have paid a deposit for my daughter’s wedding reception. It’s safe – right?

No obligation to hold deposits in ring-fenced accounts.

One of the worries which is emerging as a result of the lockdown is a complex area of business which many people find catches them out. That is the payment of advance deposits to make bookings and this is not just for wedding receptions but throughout modern life, and most notably with your deposits for package holidays and airline tickets.
South African Airways – just furloughing or closing? For airlines will it be like escape from Alcatraz?

South African Airways – just furloughing or closing? For airlines will it be like escape from Alcatraz?

Government not giving financial aid

South African Airways joins the ranks of airlines with a doubtful future in announcing that it is laying off all of its 4700 employees at the end of April. However it sounds a bit more than furloughing with the employees being given a severance package roughly equivalent to one week’s pay for each year of service although even that is conditional on a successful disposal of certain other assets.
When is a lockdown not a lockdown?

When is a lockdown not a lockdown?

While we have to sit at home and only go out for essential purposes, travellers continue to fly into the UK unchecked and passenger aircraft continue to be removed from service.

It’s today’s conundrum. When is a lockdown not a lockdown? The answer is if you are flying. Do you remember I provided you with a link to see what aircraft were in the sky? Just to remind you, here it is again - take another look.
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