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02 December 2021

Opinion from Adrian Leopard & Co

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Multiplicity of vaccines; some may work better than others
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Multiplicity of vaccines; some may work better than others

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This is now the dominant news topic – which vaccines are going to be safe? Tomorrow it may all be different

There is no doubt that we are moving into a new phase of the Covid-19 crisis, one where no longer is a vaccine seen as the be all and end all, but just one of a number of competitors, some of which may work better than others.

It is only a matter of a few weeks ago when the arrival of the first vaccine from Pfizer Biontech was signalled as a great day and the beginning of the end. It was quickly followed by the AstraZeneca vaccine and since then even more have come into play. So it was all good news then?

Unfortunately things have taken a big turn with the arrival of variants from different parts of the world and the claims that some vaccines are not as effective as others in dealing with the disease. In particular the latest concern is clearly that relating to the apparent efficacy of the AstraZeneca vaccine when it comes to the South African variant and the claims of the South African authorities that it is not effective against the South African variant and they are withdrawing it, temporarily at least, from use.

With these vaccines having been around for such short periods and with the propensity of viruses to mutate so easily, this will surely not be the last such claim and no doubt as time goes on there will be new anxieties about other vaccines and variants in due course. In the meanwhile the British government is falling over backwards to try and maintain that there is still plenty of evidence to believe that the AstraZeneca vaccine will be a good protection against bad illness and indeed death, but perhaps not mild illness?

For those who have had that vaccine, it has to be hoped that the government is right.

Sadly we have already observed that the South African variant is spreading fast and has already reached British shores while we still await the commencement of the promised quarantine in hotels for arrivals from high risk parts of the world.

Whilst the number of new cases has levelled off and indeed dropped from the 60000 peak, the daily figure is still very high and is expected to pass 4 million in the next few days with deaths now in excess of 112000. When we predicted deaths would rise to this level some while ago it seemed impossible but here we are. Indeed the projection of UK deaths has now risen to 164000 by the end of May. These predictions have proved uncannily accurate.

Vaccinations are proceedings apace. We have to believe that they will be of some effect at least and with the number of people actually catching the virus we must presume that some natural immunity is building up as well.

It is also suggested that we may be given a choice of which vaccine to have or even the option to pick and mix! Which path would you choose? Either way it seems like a long road ahead and the only way of really keeping safe is to avoid catching the virus if at all possible. To this end, do not drop your guard or your social-distancing – it is all too easy.

Adrian Leopard 08-02-21

Photo Vladislav Babienko

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Adrian Leopard & Company is the trading name of Alderney Offshore Ltd, a company registered in Alderney, Channel Islands number 1220.

Address P O Box 1027, Alderney GY9 3AS

Registered Office Seldomin, Longis Road, Alderney GY9 3YB.

Adrian Leopard & Co is represented in the UK by 3CL (UK) Ltd trading as Adrian Leopard Associates.

Telephone enquiries may be made on 08449-4-08449 or 01684-230360.

E Mail [email protected]

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